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Analysis: Geopolitics, prediction markets, tokenization seen as top three drivers of derivatives markets

Change is constant in the derivatives market, but the drivers of change are not. This year's research into market participant opinions revealed that the top three drivers are geopolitical conflict, prediction markets and tokenization. Just as telling, the regulatory agenda, which had been a top concern in the past, dropped to fifth place on this year's list.
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Latest News

  • IDX: Market leaders call for disciplined innovation in derivatives markets

    Senior executives said innovation must solve real market challenges, with AI advancing quickly while tokenisation and 24/7 trading face practical constraints
  • Kilt Challenge raises £89,067 for Futures for Kids at IDX Gala

    Mark Bortnik's fundraising campaign culminates at the IDX Gala as David Martin and Julie Winkler take up the sporran.
  • IDX: Commodity markets brace for lasting impact from Gulf shipping disruption

    Disruption to Gulf shipping is likely to have a lasting impact on global energy markets, even if traffic through the Strait of Hormuz begins to normalise, commodity market experts warned at FIA’s International Derivatives Expo.
  • IDX: Europe has the tools to compete – now it must deliver 

    At FIA’s International Derivatives Expo in London, policymakers and market leaders delivered a clear message: Europe has the scale, capital and talent to compete globally – but turning that potential into growth will require faster execution, deeper market integration and more decisive action. 
  • MarketVoice Podcast - Mairéad McGuinness, former European Commissioner for Financial Services, and David Wright, Chairman of Eurofi

    Mairéad McGuinness and David Wright joined Walt Lukken at FIA’s International Derivatives Expo in London to discuss Europe’s competitiveness challenge. They warned that a tougher global environment is exposing structural weaknesses and said that Europe must unlock capital, scale markets and speed up decision-making to strengthen growth and resilience.
  • MarketVoice Podcast - Spencer Dale, Professor in Practice, Global School of Sustainability, London School of Economics

    Spencer Dale, former chief economist at BP and now professor at the London School of Economics, joined Will Acworth to discuss the forces driving volatility in commodity markets, from geopolitical tensions and energy security to AI-driven demand and the pace of the energy transition.

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