MarketVoice
Surging volumes have prediction markets facing a legal reckoning in the US
Prediction markets, once a niche academic experiment, are colliding with US gambling laws, state regulators and a cautious Commodity Futures Trading Commission as volumes surge and courts weigh who has authority over bets on everything from elections to sports and world events.
READ MOREViewpoint: Extraordinary becomes ordinary
March 3 of this year saw the highest volumes of any day on record, according to data gathered by FIA Tech. But the markets seemed to digest these volumes with a yawn compared to past peak days. How did our industry process nearly double the volumes of past crises as if it were a normal trading day? The answer: technology, standards and metrics.
Analysis: Geopolitics, prediction markets, tokenization seen as top three drivers of derivatives markets
March 9, 2026 CONTINUE READINGTokenisation: Wall Street’s digital transformation is real and coming soon to a bank near you
March 11, 2026 CONTINUE READINGViewpoint
18 March 2026
Viewpoint: Extraordinary becomes ordinary
March 3 of this year saw the highest volumes of any day on record, according to data gathered by FIA Tech. But the markets seemed to digest these volumes with a yawn compared to past peak days. How did our industry process nearly double the volumes of past crises as if it were a normal trading day? The answer: technology, standards and metrics.
Read MoreLatest News
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Viewpoint: Extraordinary becomes ordinary
March 3 of this year saw the highest volumes of any day on record, according to data gathered by FIA Tech. But the markets seemed to digest these volumes with a yawn compared to past peak days. How did our industry process nearly double the volumes of past crises as if it were a normal trading day? The answer: technology, standards and metrics. CONTINUE READING -
Regulators highlight momentum behind EU centralised supervision
Regulators and policymakers at FIA Boca signalled growing momentum behind plans to centralise supervision of key EU market infrastructures, with an expanded role for ESMA at the core. Framed as a potential “game-changer,” the reforms aim to tackle fragmentation, boost competitiveness and deepen capital markets. While support is building, panellists acknowledged political sensitivities and emphasised the need for a balanced approach that preserves national expertise alongside stronger EU-level oversight. CONTINUE READING -
Prediction markets stir debate as exchanges push for clear rules
Prediction markets are rapidly gaining traction in financial markets, but the sector’s future may hinge on how regulators ultimately define them. The heads of several of the world’s largest exchanges debated the issue during a panel at the FIA Global Cleared Markets Conference in Boca Raton on 10 March, where the fast growth of event-based trading has collided with lingering questions about whether such contracts are financial products or simply gambling. CONTINUE READING -
Tokenisation: Wall Street’s digital transformation is real and coming soon to a bank near you
Tokenisation that relies on blockchain technology will continue to transform Wall Street in the second half of the year, according to executives at global banks, buyside firms and infrastructure providers during a panel discussion at the FIA Global Cleared Markets Conference in Boca Raton. CONTINUE READING -
Analysis: Geopolitics, prediction markets and tokenization seen as top three drivers of derivatives market change in 2026
Change is constant in the derivatives market, but the drivers of change are not. This year's research into market participant opinions revealed that the top three drivers are geopolitical conflict, prediction markets and tokenization. Just as telling, the regulatory agenda, which had been a top concern in the past, dropped to fifth place on this year's list. The findings are based on an assessment of industry sentiment conducted by Crisil Coalition Greenwich in partnership with FIA. CONTINUE READING -
Retail-focused precious metals derivatives trading surges, outpacing institutional growth
Retail investors fuelled a sharp rise in trading activity across precious metals derivatives in 2025, while institutional benchmark futures contracts saw comparatively muted growth. CONTINUE READING
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