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Anatomy of Prediction Markets

Course Overview

Prediction markets harness trading activity to forecast the likelihood of future events—ranging from elections and economic indicators to corporate performance and public policy outcomes. This course offers a practical introduction to how prediction markets operate, how trading behavior aggregates information, and why these markets can serve as powerful forecasting tools.  

The course starts by distinguishing probability from odds as pricing mechanisms, using state-regulated sports contracts to illustrate the key structural and regulatory differences between traditional betting models and CFTC-regulated event contracts. 

Course Pricing

Early Bird Rate expires 2/23/2026

Non-Member Rate: $275

FIA Member Rate: $225

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Learning Outcomes

Participants will gain a solid foundation in the different types of prediction markets: event futures contracts and binary options. Topics include contract design, pricing, liquidity and incentive structures.  

Who Should Take this Course? 

This course is intended for CFTC-regulated futures industry professionals and others who want to build a foundational understanding of these new product types, including contract design elements and how they relate to trading strategies. 

Level:  Basic

Duration and Format:  This virtual instructor-led workshop is delivered in 90-minute sessions on two dates from 10:30 to 12:00 Eastern Time.

Registration Options

Non-Member Rate: $275 ($295 after 2/23/2026)

FIA Member Rate: $225 ($250 after 2/23/2026)

Dates: Mar. 4 & 6, 

Location: Virtual Workshop. 90-minute sessions on 2 days.

Class Size: Registration is limited to approximately 25 participants to promote student participation and interaction.

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