MarketVoice
Analysis: Geopolitics, prediction markets, tokenization seen as top three drivers of derivatives markets
Change is constant in the derivatives market, but the drivers of change are not. This year's research into market participant opinions revealed that the top three drivers are geopolitical conflict, prediction markets and tokenization. Just as telling, the regulatory agenda, which had been a top concern in the past, dropped to fifth place on this year's list..
READ MOREExplainer: What are compute futures and how do they work?
Several exchanges are developing futures linked to the cost of computing power as demand from AI continues to grow. MarketVoice looks at what is being developed, how the contracts would work and whether a viable derivatives market can emerge.
Fast-growing prediction markets move into traditional financial areas, executives say
November 4, 2026 CONTINUE READINGViewpoint
12 October 2026
Better rules start with better dialogue
Jacqueline Mesa, FIA’s Chief Operating Officer and SVP of Global Policy, argues that effective regulation starts with open dialogue. Policymakers, regulators and market participants will not always agree, but understanding each other’s objectives and practical challenges can lead to better-informed decisions and rules that work as intended.
Read MoreLatest News
-
FIA Expo: Fast-growing prediction markets move into traditional financial areas, executives say
Prediction markets are moving beyond their roots in elections and sports as institutional investors explore their value for hedging, economic signals and more sophisticated trading strategies. But rapid growth is also bringing greater scrutiny of regulation, manipulation and how these markets should evolve. -
FIA Expo: Exchanges eye turning AI compute into a tradable commodity
ICE, CME Group and Kalshi see growing demand for ways to hedge the cost of computing power, but fragmented pricing and an immature spot market remain obstacles -
FIA Expo: Exchange leaders and prediction markets meet in the middle
Traditional derivatives exchanges and prediction market platforms are beginning to converge as Kalshi attempts to expand beyond its retail base by adding institutional traders and established operators explore event contracts and new ways of reaching retail customers. -
Continuous trading and collateral efficiency will be unlocked by 24/7 clearing
Tokenisation promises faster, more efficient collateral management, but ClearToken argues that its potential will not be realised without 24/7 post-trade infrastructure. The firm looks at how continuous clearing, settlement and risk management could support the shift towards always-on markets. -
Prediction markets look beyond ‘look-alike’ contracts in agriculture
Prediction markets could complement agricultural futures, but industry leaders say closer consultation is needed. -
Innovators Pavilion 2021 – Where are they now?
Five years on, MarketVoice looks at how four startups from the 2021 Innovators Pavilion have evolved and the milestones that have shaped their growth.
FIA's MarketVoice Podcast
Subscribe to Episodes
This podcast is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended to provide investment, tax, business, legal or professional advice to any individual or entity. Unless specifically stated otherwise, neither FIA nor its members endorse, approve, recommend, or certify any information, opinion, product, process, service, individual or entity presented or mentioned in this podcast. FIA makes no representations, warranties, or guarantees as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the podcast’s content. Reliance on the podcast’s contents is done at your own risk; FIA disclaims any and all liability or responsibility for any direct, indirect, incidental, special of consequential damages arising out any use of, reference to, reliance on, or inability to use this podcast or its contents. Any commercial use, resale, or redistribution of this podcast without the FIA’s express written consent is prohibited. Copyright 2023, FIA, all rights reserved. For more information, visit fia.org.
